Widow Mine Drop
Detected when a Marine ball with 2+ Widow Mines and a Medivac runs mobile mine drops into the Protoss mineral lines.
75.4% win rate over 57 ladder games since patch 5.0.16
n = 57 games from 2 players · Stats updated Sep 28, 2026
Across 57 TvP ladder games from 2 players since patch 5.0.16, Widow Mine Drop wins 75.4% of decided games. The likely range for its true win rate is 62.9–84.8%, so it wins more often than it loses. It appears in 36.5% of the 156 TvP games in the guide sample. This guide is newly published, so there is no weekly trend yet. This is still a small sample (n = 57), so treat it as a directional read.
Key timings
These timings come from 49 recorded build orders by 2 players. Buildings are timed when construction starts, upgrades and morphs when they finish, exactly as the replay records them. The median player finishes Concussive Shells at 8:10, with the middle half between 6:35 and 8:38. Timing data is still thin (n = 49 replays), so expect these medians to move.
| Milestone | Early (p25) | Median | Late (p75) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Barracks startedin 49 games | 0:54 | 0:55 | 1:35 |
| Refinery startedin 49 games | 0:42 | 1:03 | 1:05 |
| Orbital Command donein 49 games | 2:07 | 2:09 | 3:18 |
| 2nd Command Center startedin 43 games | 2:01 | 2:11 | 5:12 |
| Factory startedin 49 games | 2:19 | 2:35 | 2:48 |
| Starport startedin 49 games | 3:08 | 3:29 | 3:48 |
| Engineering Bay startedin 46 games | 5:15 | 5:40 | 6:27 |
| 3rd Command Center startedin 36 games | 6:14 | 6:36 | 7:38 |
| Stimpack donein 48 games | 6:32 | 7:39 | 7:57 |
| Infantry Weapons 1 donein 34 games | 7:37 | 7:52 | 8:33 |
| Combat Shield donein 45 games | 7:38 | 7:57 | 8:10 |
| Concussive Shells donein 43 games | 6:35 | 8:10 | 8:38 |
Army at 6, 8 and 10 minutes
At 6:00
Median count when present · 49 replays
Marine×9in 100% of games
At 8:00
Median count when present · 43 replays
- Marine×17in 100% of games
Medivac×2in 98% of games
Marauder×5in 93% of games
What it beats and loses to
Win rate against each opponent opener, ranked by the low end of its likely range.
| Opponent opener | Win rate | Games |
|---|---|---|
| Standard Expand | 71.4%likely range 54.9–83.7% | 35 |
Common macro leaks
Average macro score 78.0 over 57 games from 2 players.
- Supply Blockedin 100.0% of games57 of 57