Reaper Expand into Tank/Viking
Detected when a Reaper-first scout is followed by a single expansion and then Siege Tanks behind Vikings -- the standard TvT positional macro opener that masses tanks for the air-controlled contain.
60.0% win rate over 50 ladder games since patch 5.0.16
n = 50 games from 2 players · Stats updated Sep 28, 2026
Reaper Expand into Tank/Viking wins 60.0% of decided games across 50 TvT ladder games from 2 players since patch 5.0.16. The likely range for its true win rate is 46.2–72.4%, so it is too close to call against a coin flip. It appears in 27.3% of the 183 TvT games in the guide sample. This guide is newly published, so there is no weekly trend yet. This is still a small sample (n = 50), so treat it as a directional read.
Key timings
These timings come from 49 recorded build orders by 2 players. Buildings are timed when construction starts, upgrades and morphs when they finish, exactly as the replay records them. The median player finishes Combat Shield at 10:01, with the middle half between 9:47 and 10:25. Timing data is still thin (n = 49 replays), so expect these medians to move.
| Milestone | Early (p25) | Median | Late (p75) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Refinery startedin 49 games | 0:41 | 0:42 | 0:45 |
| Barracks startedin 49 games | 1:07 | 1:08 | 1:09 |
| Factory startedin 49 games | 2:03 | 2:06 | 2:08 |
| Orbital Command donein 49 games | 2:19 | 2:20 | 2:22 |
| 2nd Command Center startedin 49 games | 2:36 | 2:38 | 2:40 |
| Starport startedin 49 games | 3:21 | 3:23 | 3:26 |
| 3rd Command Center startedin 49 games | 5:27 | 5:54 | 6:10 |
| Engineering Bay startedin 45 games | 6:56 | 7:09 | 7:34 |
| Stimpack donein 43 games | 8:17 | 8:30 | 8:46 |
| Armory startedin 40 games | 8:37 | 9:03 | 9:26 |
| Infantry Weapons 1 donein 37 games | 9:27 | 9:38 | 10:14 |
| Combat Shield donein 37 games | 9:47 | 10:01 | 10:25 |
Army at 6, 8 and 10 minutes
At 6:00
Median count when present · 49 replays
Marine×8in 100% of games
Raven×2in 98% of games
Siege Tank×2in 96% of games
Cyclone×1in 88% of games
At 8:00
Median count when present · 46 replays
Siege Tank×4in 98% of games
Marine×8.5in 96% of games
Viking×4in 87% of games
Raven×3in 78% of games
At 10:00
Median count when present · 40 replays
Marine×19in 98% of games
Siege Tank×5in 98% of games
Viking×5in 83% of games
Common macro leaks
Average macro score 82.0 over 50 games from 2 players.
- Supply Blockedin 92.0% of games46 of 50
- Mineral Floatin 80.0% of games40 of 50