2 Base Muta Rush
Detected if a Spire is started before 7:00 with low drone count.
31.7% win rate over 41 ladder games since patch 5.0.16
n = 41 games from 5 players · Stats updated Sep 28, 2026
Across 41 ZvT ladder games from 5 players since patch 5.0.16, 2 Base Muta Rush wins 31.7% of decided games. The likely range for its true win rate is 19.6–47.0%, so it loses more often than it wins. It appears in 4.1% of the 996 ZvT games in the guide sample. This guide is newly published, so there is no weekly trend yet. This is still a small sample (n = 41), so treat it as a directional read.
Key timings
These timings come from 39 recorded build orders by 5 players. Buildings are timed when construction starts, upgrades and morphs when they finish, exactly as the replay records them. The median player starts Spire at 6:05, with the middle half between 5:16 and 6:42. Timing data is still thin (n = 39 replays), so expect these medians to move.
| Milestone | Early (p25) | Median | Late (p75) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Extractor startedin 39 games | 0:39 | 0:42 | 0:55 |
| 2nd Hatchery startedin 39 games | 1:14 | 1:16 | 1:36 |
| Spawning Pool startedin 39 games | 1:18 | 1:33 | 1:37 |
| 3rd Hatchery startedin 38 games | 3:26 | 4:02 | 5:18 |
| Roach Warren startedin 30 games | 3:13 | 4:10 | 5:43 |
| Metabolic Boost donein 38 games | 4:14 | 4:30 | 5:06 |
| Evolution Chamber startedin 38 games | 3:48 | 4:44 | 6:05 |
| Baneling Nest startedin 36 games | 4:11 | 4:45 | 5:36 |
| Lair donein 39 games | 4:38 | 5:05 | 5:47 |
| Spire startedin 39 games | 5:16 | 6:05 | 6:42 |
Army at 6, 8 and 10 minutes
At 6:00
Median count when present · 39 replays
Queen×3in 100% of games
Zergling×8in 79% of games
At 8:00
Median count when present · 39 replays
- Queen×3in 97% of games
- Zergling×9in 82% of games
At 10:00
Median count when present · 33 replays
- Queen×3.5in 97% of games
- Zergling×12in 94% of games
Common macro leaks
Average macro score 66.5 over 41 games from 5 players.
- Supply Blockedin 100.0% of games41 of 41
- Mineral Floatin 95.1% of games39 of 41